Exam PApplicationsFree to read
Transformations and order statistics
Push a random variable through a function: use the CDF method when you can, the Jacobian when you must, and treat maxima and minima as CDF products.
The formulas
- CDF method
then differentiate
- Monotone transform
- Maximum of n iid
- Minimum of n iid
- Convolution
Where it comes from
- The CDF method works because can always be rewritten as a probability about when is invertible on the relevant region.
- Differentiating that identity produces the Jacobian factor — the absolute derivative of the inverse.
- The maximum is below exactly when ALL of them are, so the CDFs multiply; the minimum is above exactly when all of them are, so the SURVIVAL functions multiply.
Worked example
Let $U$ be uniform on (0,1) and $Y = -2\ln U$. Find $P(Y > 3)$.
- .
- The inequality flipped when dividing by — the step most often missed.
- because is standard uniform.
- . In fact is exponential with mean 2.
Answer: 0.2231
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Memory hooks
- Always go through the CDF. The density method is a shortcut that only works for monotone g.
- Max ⇒ multiply CDFs. Min ⇒ multiply survival functions. Nothing else to remember.
Traps
- Forgetting the absolute value on the Jacobian for a decreasing transform.
- Failing to flip the inequality when dividing by a negative number.
Related
- Random variables, CDFs and survival functions
- Exponential distribution
- Continuous uniform distribution
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