Exam PProbability foundationsFree to read
Counting: permutations, combinations and partitions
Order matters or it does not, and repetition is allowed or it is not. Those two questions pick the formula every time.
The formulas
- Multiplication rule
- Permutations
order matters, no repetition
- Combinations
order does not matter
- Multinomial
split n items into labelled groups
- Stars and bars
n identical items into k distinct boxes
Where it comes from
- Choosing items in order from leaves choices, then , and so on for factors — that product is .
- Every unordered set of items was counted times in that product, so dividing by gives the combination count.
- The multinomial coefficient is the same argument applied to several groups at once.
Worked example
A study committee needs 3 actuaries chosen from 12 and 2 underwriters chosen from 9. How many committees are possible?
- The two choices are independent, so multiply the counts.
- ways to pick the actuaries.
- ways to pick the underwriters.
- committees.
Answer: 7,920
This answer is recomputed from the site’s own interest-theory and probability functions every time the test suite runs, so the page and the mathematics cannot drift apart.
Memory hooks
- Ask 'would swapping two of my picks give a different outcome?' Yes means permutation; no means combination.
- Repeated letters in a word: n! divided by the factorial of each repeat count — the multinomial coefficient in disguise.
Traps
- Using a permutation when the selection is a committee (unordered).
- Forgetting to divide by the repeats when arranging items that are not all distinct.
Related
Drill this: the Exam P question bank has original questions on this topic, and today’s free round is open to everyone.