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Beta distribution

A proportion or probability constrained to [0, 1], with a shape set by two counts.

Parameters and support

first shape parameter
second shape parameter
Support

The formulas

f(x)
F(x)

The regularized incomplete beta function. Elementary only when α or β is a small positive integer.

Mean
Variance
MGF

Not examinable for this distribution.

The MGF is a confluent hypergeometric series and is not examinable. Use E[Xᵏ] = ∏(α+j)/(α+β+j) for j = 0…k−1.

Memory hook. Read α and β as pseudo-counts of successes and failures: the mean α/(α+β) is exactly the sample proportion they imply. Beta(1,1) is the standard uniform.

Where the moments come from

  1. The normalising constant is with .
  2. .
  3. gives .
  4. gives .
  5. Subtracting the squared mean collapses to .

Worked example

The proportion of a portfolio that lapses in a year follows a Beta distribution with α = 2 and β = 8. Find the mean and variance of the lapse proportion.

  1. .
  2. .
  3. .
  4. The standard deviation is .

Answer: 0.014545

The mean, variance, CDF and moment generating function above are re-derived numerically from this distribution’s own density on every test run — summed over the support for a discrete distribution, integrated by quadrature for a continuous one — and compared with the closed forms printed here. A typo on this page fails the build.

Traps

  • Writing (α+β+1) as (α+β)+1 in the wrong place — the cube-like denominator is (α+β)²(α+β+1).
  • Forgetting that Beta(1,1) is uniform, which is often the fastest sanity check on an answer.

Related

Drill this: the Exam P question bank has original questions on this distribution, and the recall trainer builds its prompts from exactly the formulas above.