Exam PContinuousFree to read
Beta distribution
A proportion or probability constrained to [0, 1], with a shape set by two counts.
Parameters and support
- first shape parameter —
- second shape parameter —
- Support
The formulas
- f(x)
- F(x)
The regularized incomplete beta function. Elementary only when α or β is a small positive integer.
- Mean
- Variance
- MGF
Not examinable for this distribution.
The MGF is a confluent hypergeometric series and is not examinable. Use E[Xᵏ] = ∏(α+j)/(α+β+j) for j = 0…k−1.
Where the moments come from
- The normalising constant is with .
- .
- gives .
- gives .
- Subtracting the squared mean collapses to .
Worked example
The proportion of a portfolio that lapses in a year follows a Beta distribution with α = 2 and β = 8. Find the mean and variance of the lapse proportion.
- .
- .
- .
- The standard deviation is .
Answer: 0.014545
The mean, variance, CDF and moment generating function above are re-derived numerically from this distribution’s own density on every test run — summed over the support for a discrete distribution, integrated by quadrature for a continuous one — and compared with the closed forms printed here. A typo on this page fails the build.
Traps
- Writing (α+β+1) as (α+β)+1 in the wrong place — the cube-like denominator is (α+β)²(α+β+1).
- Forgetting that Beta(1,1) is uniform, which is often the fastest sanity check on an answer.
Related
Drill this: the Exam P question bank has original questions on this distribution, and the recall trainer builds its prompts from exactly the formulas above.